I just came back from a seminar with the president of the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver, Dave Watt and the senior financial analyst at CMHC, Robyn Adamache and they had some great information and forecasts for the next year.
Both have said that economic growth in BC has slowed down from last year however compared to the nation we are still above average.
There was a 4.3% unemployment rate in 2008 and it is expected to increase to 4.5% in 2009.
From Jan to September 2008, there was 49,851 migrations to BC and the forecast for 2009 is 34,400.
Interest rates are expected to increase 50-75 basis points at the end of 2009 to 2010 so take advantage of the low interest rates now by locking in your rate with your mortgage broker.
For those that are thinking about purchasing an investment property, stats show that 22% of condos in Vancouver are rented out and there is a 0.6% vacancy rate in Metro Vancouver and a 0.3% vacancy rate in downtown Vancouver. And with the decline in prices and the low interest rates, it is easier for investors to cover more of their mortgage if not all of their mortgage with the current rent trends.
The people seem to be waiting for the housing prices to hit rock bottom but no one really knows when that will be and it is hard to predict. When most people feel as though it hits rock bottom is when prices have already started to increase and they have already missed that point.
The good news is that sales in Jan 2009 were averaging about 38 sales a day and in Feb 09 we are averaging 77 sales per day so much more activity.
Also, this is a great time to upgrade your unit as the spread is less now than it would be in an increasing market. For example, if the prices have decreased by 10% and you own a $300,000 place, you lose $30,000 but you gain it in your purchase (say you bought a place for $500,000 by gaining $50,000). Does that make sense?